5 1 0 1 5
a d v a n c e d e co n o m i e s
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
8 0 8 5 9 0 9 5 0 0 0 5 1 0 1 5
e m e rg i n g e co n o m i e s
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- 4 -
3. Probit models
[...] economy. The model reveals again the problems during the downswing at the end
of the 1980s and beginning of the 1990s, but behaves quite well in the other episodes.6 At the
end of the sample (2015/16) [...] the 10-year Treasury Note yield,
Federal Reserve Board
- stock price index, S&P500 composite, Standard & Poor’s
- monetary aggregates, OECD M1 and M3, OECD
page
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Commodity
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