process
may differ substantially from their ex-post revised values. Real-time
uncertainty about key variables, like actual and potential output (and their
rates of growth), opens up a role for [...] and Beck and Wieland (2007, 2008) all restrict their
attention to optimal discretionary policy. Our interest in simple rules is
motivated by their potential advantages over discretionary policy. [...] that the interpretation of the
available data often depends on the assessment of their development relative
to their trend or long-run equilibrium levels that are unobservable and can
only be estimated
at view this as a temporary shock, and hence
which major swings in inflation are about to adjust their expectations of future short-term
develop. We use the probabilistic inference from rates by less than [...] contains the estimation results and a component and its effect on the real rates. If the
discussion of their implications for German tightening is viewed as a credible commitment
business cycle analysis. Section [...] the
evidence on Germany and the European Monetary Union. 3-month and 1-month money market rates. Their per-
5For a detailed argument, relating to the 6-month commer- formance was similar, if not slightly
websites are prohibited.
In most cases authors are permitted to post their version of the
article (e.g. in Word or Tex form) to their personal website or
institutional repository. Authors requiring further [...] , the European Central Bank and the University of Münster as well
as two anonymous referees for their valuable comments. In particular, we would
like to thank S. Arz for his contributions. The opinions [...] central banks in the euro area are connected
to TARGET2. There are no constraints on the size of their balances vis-à-vis the Euro-
pean Central Bank that emerge from the cross-border flow of interbank
similar results, it is nevertheless advisable to additionally use
indirect estimates to examine their robustness. This approach has been taken in a separate
paper.
page
Nicht-technische [...] d securities transactions Gaby Trinkaus
07 2010 Banks’ exposure to interest rate risk, their
earnings from term transformation, and
the dynamics of the term structure Christoph [...] Pfingsten
14 2010 How correlated are changes in banks’ net
interest income and in their present value? Christoph Memmel
01 2011 Contingent capital to strengthen the private
They usually hold a large
proportion of their money holdings as transactions balances, using these balances mainly as a buffer, while
slowly adjusting their portfolio composition. In addition, households’ [...] cointegration relationships by the cross correlation between their
monetary overhang measures suggests that models 2-n and 4-r are quite similar in their assessment of
actual money holdings relative to [...] M3 holdings are also found to be
informative for price developments in the euro area, giving their explanation a particular relevance for
monetary analysis (see European Central Bank (2006b) p
that the interpretation of the available data often depends on
the assessment of their development relative to their trend or long-run equilibrium
levels which are unobservable and can only be estimated [...] central bank is assumed to
page
minimise the deviations of inflation and output from their respective target values and to avoid
interest rate fluctuations.
In section 4 the feedback [...] The problem is therefore especially acute for variables which are formulated in
deviations from their equilibrium or “natural rate” levels. A well-known example are
the measurement problems regarding
between the various euro-area coins is relatively simple
owing to their unique national side. As people can clearly see in their everyday cash
transactions, the national euro coins have become mixed [...] relatively easy to distinguish the coins
issued by the individual euro area countries, owing to their unique national side. The
introduction of euro coins offered the unique opportunity to analyse [...] from the online survey projects “Eurodiff” and “Euromobil” are available. Accordingly,
since their introduction until the end of 2008, the share of German €1 coins in Germany
dropped to about 75%
a seminar at the Banque de France and especially the discussant
of the paper, L. Lalouette, for their input. The views expressed in this paper are those of the authors and should
not be interpreted as [...] households at the point of sale
(POS), i. e., it concentrates only on transactions balances. Their results show that in 2019
around 73 % of all payments at the POS were made with cash, with again [...] aspects of
cash demand. Bouhdaoui & Bounie (2012) compare different payment choice models in their
ability to replicate observed payment behaviour in France. Banque de France (2020) presents
websites are prohibited.
In most cases authors are permitted to post their version of the
article (e.g. in Word or Tex form) to their personal website or
institutional repository. Authors requiring further [...] , the European Central Bank and the University of Münster as well
as two anonymous referees for their valuable comments. In particular, we would
like to thank S. Arz for his contributions. The opinions [...] central banks in the euro area are connected
to TARGET2. There are no constraints on the size of their balances vis-à-vis the Euro-
pean Central Bank that emerge from the cross-border flow of interbank
(see Evans, 2005, among others). However, Beck & Wieland
actually base their assumption on a couple of studies supporting their view of
relatively long-lasting misperceptions (see, e.g., Orphanides [...] highlight financial intermediaries' role in determining the price of risk. As these
expand their balance sheets, their risk-bearing capacity increases and risk premiums
fall. Thus, balance sheet quantities [...] various financial intermediaries and their respective balance sheet
quantities. First, the information provided by institutions that are marking-to-market
their balance sheet is of superior quality
Bundesbank and the Österreichische Nationalbank for their valuable assistance. In
particular, we would like to thank M Altmann, S Arz and M Vogel for their valuable contributions. The opinions
expressed [...] suitable as a
“safe haven” and c) a banknote denomination structure which makes their storage and transport as well as their
use in the shadow economy significantly easier. With equation (4), it is now [...] within that country as they do not flow back to the central bank as
frequently. Consequently, their measured average life is longer. The prerequisite for the
application of this type of indirect
n. „ ... investors will miss no opportu-
nity to test the resolve of governments in maintaining
their exchange rate target“23. Auslöser ist, dass eine
Währung unter Abwertungsverdacht gerät. Ein Spe-
easy to recognize the origin of the various euro area coins
owing to their unique national backsides. As people clearly notice in their everyday cash
transactions, the national euro coins have become mixed [...] since
been prohibited by the US Treasury and does not seem to be an issue for euro coins owing to their
different metallic composition.
Diskussionsbeitrag / Discussion Paper
Jahrbücher f. Nation
discussed.
The second section of Chapter II discusses various monetary policy strategies and their adequacy to
the Eurosystem. A monetary policy strategy is defined as the basic thrust of monetary [...] marginal lending facility and the
deposit facility. The individual instruments are described, and their effects characterised, using the
consolidated balance sheet, the "financial statement", of the Eurosystem
step, we use the selected monetary and credit variables
within different VAR models, and compare their forecasting properties against a benchmark
VAR model with GDP and the term spread (and univariate [...] Economic Association 2015 and the IBEFA Summer Meeting 2015, as well as two anonymous referees for their suggestions
and comments. We also thank R. Borg for helpful comments on an earlier version of the [...] only holding for
Divisia money; Aksoy and Piskorski (2005, 2006) exclude foreign holdings of cash in their analysis. In contrast, the older
literature on the US economy usually found that official monetary
the level of real output
rises above trend. The popularity of such rules stems from their simplicity and their
good performance across a wide array of macroeconomic models. In addition, the case [...] change in the
output gap as well as to deviations of (expected) inflation and money growth from their
respective target values. Furthermore, the results suggest that the monetary policy of the
[...] mistakes in estimating the long-run relationships or that, despite the
medium-term orientation of their approach, policymakers still showed some response to
short-run fluctuations in money demand (even
cross-border chains of transactions, criminals are remarkably
adept at concealing the origin of their funds.
The goal of our paper is to shed light on the relationship between the size of the shadow [...] Segendorf's (2007) analysis of the
difference between households' incomes and the expenditures. In their view, this difference captures transactions in the
shadow economy which they find to be positively [...] unbalanced panel structure.8
The trend behavior of the variables included necessitates an analysis of their stationarity properties to determine an
appropriate specification of the empirical model. However
the
market for government securities. Over time, a few of the Reserve Banks began to coordinate their
purchases and sales. The Banking Act of 1933 formalized the FOMC as an entity, consisting of the [...] relationship of the monetary aggregates to spending, the behavior of the ag-
gregates relative to their annual ranges will likely be of limited use in guiding policy
(...), and the Federal Reserve will
discussed.
The second section of Chapter II discusses various monetary policy strategies and their adequacy to
the Eurosystem. A monetary policy strategy is defined as the basic thrust of monetary [...] marginal lending facility and the
deposit facility. The individual instruments are described, and their effects characterised, using the
consolidated balance sheet, the "financial statement", of the
much uncertainty to their staff’s estimates
of the output gap that they all but ignored them and relied on other or additional
indicators of economic activity? If so, did their reliance on these other [...] estimates of the baseline reaction function
with real-time data
Table 10 Monetary targets and their implementation
Table 11 Parameter estimates of the reaction function with
additional variables [...] long-run equilibrium level in response to departures of either expected inflation or
output from their respective targets. Specifically:
( ) ( ) ( )tttntnttntt yEEßrEi Ω+Ω−−+=Ω− +++ γπππ )()1( ** ,
Bundesbank and the Österreichische Nationalbank for their valuable
insights. We would like to extend our special thanks to M Altmann, S Arz and M Vogel for their valuable
contributions. The opinions expressed [...] similar results, it is nevertheless advisable to additionally use
indirect estimates to examine their robustness. This approach has been taken in a separate
paper.
page
Nicht-technische [...] inpayments of these denominations at central banks in
countries where Germans typically spend their holidays that suggest that these balances are
closely connected with foreign travel. But, at just
the relationship of the monetary aggregates to spending, the behavior
of the aggregates relative to their annual ranges will likely be of limited use in guiding po-
licy (...), and the Federal Reserve will
money supply. Instead, they adjust it to achieve a target for the interest rate, and they adjust
their interest-rate target in response to movements in output and inflation." oder etwa
Mehrling (2004
current level of income, any attempt to
increase the money supply leads them to adjust their portfolios to limit their money holdings.
These portfolio changes lead to changes in relative yields on financial [...] in shaping the dynamic behaviour of
output, inflation and interest rates. A distinctive feature of their VAR analysis is that both the variables included in
the system and the identifying restrictions used [...] production as a proxy for real activity, real M1, the term spread and
inflation. The major result of their paper is that the combined contribution of these monetary
disturbances for real economic fluctuations
market
crises and financial market bubbles. Thereafter we examine the capital import restrictions and their effec-
tiveness. It turns out that the empirical evidence is ambiguous. Especially it has to be d [...] CANALES-KRILJENKO, J. I. /
KIRILENKO, A. (2000): Capital controls: Country experiences with their use and liberalization,
International Monetary Fund (IMF) Occasional Paper, No. 190, Washington D